Köln vs Mainz 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
36%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
WOL
1 - 0
KOL
56%
23%
22%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
KOL
2 - 2
BVB
9%
15%
76%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
FCU
2 - 1
KOL
43%
25%
33%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
KOL
1 - 1
BRE
30%
24%
46%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
BYM
5 - 1
KOL
88%
9%
4%
|
77 | 96 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
M05
1 - 1
ARB
45%
25%
30%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2021 |
M05
2 - 2
FCN
59%
22%
20%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
HOF
1 - 2
M05
62%
20%
18%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
M05
1 - 0
SCF
29%
25%
47%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2021 |
S04
0 - 0
M05
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |