Köln vs Hertha BSC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
44.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
SCF
5 - 0
KOL
42%
25%
33%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
KOL
0 - 1
AUG
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2020 |
KOL
1 - 0
OSN
62%
20%
18%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
RBL
0 - 0
KOL
70%
18%
12%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
KOL
0 - 4
LEV
14%
19%
67%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Hertha BSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
ARB
1 - 0
HER
23%
24%
53%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
HER
3 - 0
S04
41%
25%
34%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
SCF
4 - 1
HER
36%
26%
39%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
HER
0 - 0
M05
49%
24%
27%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
MON
1 - 1
HER
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |