Köln vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
18.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1988 |
HOM
1 - 0
KOL
36%
26%
39%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1988 |
KOL
3 - 0
WAL
69%
19%
12%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1988 |
BYM
2 - 2
KOL
76%
15%
9%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1988 |
KOL
2 - 0
BVB
59%
22%
20%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1988 |
LEV
1 - 1
KOL
47%
25%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1988 |
FCN
1 - 1
EIN
63%
21%
17%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1988 |
BVB
1 - 1
FCN
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1988 |
MON
3 - 0
FCN
65%
20%
16%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1988 |
HSV
2 - 2
FCN
58%
22%
19%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1988 |
FCN
2 - 0
HOM
70%
17%
12%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |