Köln vs Eintracht Trier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2003 |
SGF
2 - 0
KOL
33%
25%
42%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2003 |
SCF
3 - 0
KOL
46%
24%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2003 |
KOL
2 - 1
STP
72%
17%
11%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
REU
1 - 2
KOL
24%
23%
53%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2003 |
KOL
2 - 0
ROT
71%
18%
11%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Eintracht Trier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2003 |
EIN
0 - 1
EBT
56%
23%
21%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
EIN
1 - 2
SGF
30%
25%
45%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
LUB
3 - 1
EIN
50%
24%
25%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
EIN
0 - 1
SCF
26%
26%
48%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
RWA
2 - 1
EIN
49%
25%
27%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |