Köln vs BW Lohne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.2%
+7
1.5%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
6.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.9%
4-0
11.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
+4
14.1%
3-0
16.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.4%
2-0
17%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18%
8.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
0.1%
0
8.7%
2.3%
Win probability
0.32
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
KOL
5 - 0
SVD
90%
8%
2%
|
76 | 16 | 60 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2020 |
KOL
5 - 0
SPV
92%
7%
1%
|
76 | 11 | 65 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2020 |
BRE
6 - 1
KOL
43%
25%
33%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2020 |
KOL
1 - 1
EIN
23%
22%
56%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2020 |
LEV
3 - 1
KOL
70%
17%
12%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
BW Lohne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2020 |
ROD
3 - 0
BWL
81%
13%
6%
|
31 | 56 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2020 |
BWL
2 - 1
BWP
77%
14%
9%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
BWL
5 - 0
BVE
75%
15%
10%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2019 |
BWL
4 - 0
TDI
60%
20%
20%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2019 |
BWL
3 - 0
CLO
74%
16%
10%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | -1 |