Köln vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.4%
Win probability
3.11
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.3%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.5%
7.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1960 |
BOC
1 - 6
KOL
43%
23%
34%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1960 |
KOL
4 - 0
HAM
84%
11%
6%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1960 |
DUI
2 - 6
KOL
38%
24%
38%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1960 |
KOL
3 - 3
S04
80%
12%
8%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1960 |
BOC
3 - 2
KOL
44%
23%
33%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1960 |
WHE
2 - 0
AAA
66%
19%
15%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1960 |
AAA
3 - 0
DUI
74%
15%
11%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1960 |
VIK
4 - 6
AAA
68%
17%
15%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 1960 |
AAA
4 - 0
BOC
68%
18%
15%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +2 |
| 24 Apr. 1960 |
ROT
1 - 0
AAA
59%
21%
20%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |