1º Dezembro vs Moura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
19.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1º Dezembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
BEN
1 - 2
1DE
55%
25%
20%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
1DE
1 - 3
PRA
48%
25%
27%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
CAS
3 - 0
1DE
54%
26%
20%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
1DE
2 - 1
ANG
44%
26%
29%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
UDL
1 - 2
1DE
63%
22%
14%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Moura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
ANG
0 - 3
MOU
58%
24%
19%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
MOU
0 - 0
BEN
27%
27%
46%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
MOU
1 - 2
UDL
22%
25%
53%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
PRA
3 - 1
MOU
47%
26%
27%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
MOU
1 - 2
COV
25%
24%
51%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |