1º Dezembro vs Fatima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
31.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1º Dezembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
MAF
0 - 0
1DE
68%
20%
12%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
1DE
0 - 1
ORI
36%
26%
38%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
1DE
1 - 0
CAR
58%
23%
20%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
QUA
0 - 1
1DE
35%
27%
37%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
1DE
2 - 0
FAR
17%
26%
56%
|
45 | 66 | 21 | +2 |
Matches
Fatima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
FAT
3 - 0
CAR
63%
21%
16%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
QUA
0 - 1
FAT
27%
26%
48%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
FAT
1 - 2
FAR
22%
28%
50%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
TOR
1 - 0
FAT
52%
25%
22%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
FAT
1 - 0
OEI
67%
20%
13%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | +1 |