Lowland League . Jor. 16

Caledonian Braves vs Cowdenbeath analysis

Caledonian Braves Cowdenbeath
34 ELO 31
3.4% Tilt 1%
5801º General ELO ranking 6168º
61º Country ELO ranking 63º
ELO win probability
60%
Caledonian Braves
19.7%
Draw
20.3%
Cowdenbeath

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
Caledonian Braves
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
20.3%
Win probability
Cowdenbeath
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Caledonian Braves
+64%
-11%
Cowdenbeath

Points and table prediction

Caledonian Braves
Their league position
Cowdenbeath
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
12º
10º
36
12º
17º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Spartans
79
79
100%
Rangers FC II
74
77
100%
Celtic II
76
76
100%
Stirling University
71
71
100%
Tranent Juniors FC
65
65
100%
East Kilbride
64
64
100%
Berwick Rangers
61
61
100%
Civil Service Strollers
58
58
100%
Bo'ness United
54
54
100%
Caledonian Braves
10º
51
51
10º
0%
Broomhill FC
11º
51
51
11º
0%
Gala Fairydean Rovers
12º
49
49
12º
100%
Hearts II
13º
48
48
13º
100%
Cumbernauld Colts
14º
46
46
14º
100%
Cowdenbeath
15º
36
36
15º
100%
East Stirlingshire
16º
33
33
16º
100%
Gretna 2008
17º
26
26
17º
100%
AFC Edinburgh University
18º
16
16
18º
100%
Dalbeattie Star
19º
8
8
19º
100%
Expected probabilities
Caledonian Braves
Cowdenbeath
Play-offs for the title
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%

ELO progression

Caledonian Braves
Cowdenbeath
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Caledonian Braves
Caledonian Braves
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Oct. 2022
CBF
Caledonian Braves
2 - 4
Spartans
SPA
28%
23%
49%
35 42 7 0
22 Oct. 2022
EAS
East Kilbride
5 - 0
Caledonian Braves
CBF
73%
16%
11%
35 50 15 0
07 Oct. 2022
BFC
Broomhill FC
3 - 1
Caledonian Braves
CBF
46%
22%
32%
37 36 1 -2
01 Oct. 2022
CBF
Caledonian Braves
2 - 2
East Kilbride
EAS
12%
17%
71%
36 51 15 +1
28 Sep. 2022
TRA
Tranent Juniors FC
4 - 2
Caledonian Braves
CBF
74%
16%
10%
37 49 12 -1

Matches

Cowdenbeath
Cowdenbeath
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Oct. 2022
BER
Berwick Rangers
2 - 1
Cowdenbeath
CWB
57%
21%
22%
33 33 0 0
08 Oct. 2022
EAS
East Kilbride
0 - 1
Cowdenbeath
CWB
83%
13%
4%
31 50 19 +2
04 Oct. 2022
CWB
Cowdenbeath
0 - 1
Spartans
SPA
18%
22%
60%
33 43 10 -2
01 Oct. 2022
CWB
Cowdenbeath
5 - 0
East Stirlingshire
THE
35%
23%
42%
31 32 1 +2
28 Sep. 2022
STI
Stirling University
1 - 0
Cowdenbeath
CWB
65%
19%
16%
32 37 5 -1
X